According to this June 11 story by Daniel Miller (link may expire), the median home price in L.A. County is up again for May 2007. However, the story does state that the market is quite "lopsided", with the ultra high priced homes still doing relatively well while the lower priced homes lag. The median price for May, according to HomeData Corporation, was $585,000, which was 6.4% up YOY.
However, there were 5,666 sales in L.A. County for May, -37% from May 2006, which was -17% from May 2005.
Many local real estate professionals agree that the subprime implosion has made its impact. "Now you have to qualify at the full adjustable rate, and that is keeping out some of the buyers." Mortgage brokers are reporting that the tightened lending standards are "killing some deals that would have been made months ago", and that the lower end of the market is "falling out with a steeper drop in sales."
The California Association of Realtors (CAR) says that there has been slowing in every segment of the market, but the inventory buildup has been greatest in the below-$500,000 range. (Of course here in the four major beach cities, properties priced in that range are about non-existent!) For April 2007, there was 14.6 months of unsold inventory in Los Angeles County in the below-$500,000 range. For all price ranges in Los Angeles County, April saw 12.1 months of unsold inventory, over double from 5.6 months YOY.
According to the article, the experts are saying a "healthy" market has about a 7 month supply. For April 2007, days on market (DOM) has been averaging 55.5 days, compared with 34.5 days YOY. From the calculations I've run on inventory for my Redondo Beach records, I estimate real average DOM for RB to be double that.
As long-time readers of this blog know, I don't care for the way HomeData or DataQuick report median home sale figures because of the potential statistical problems of small numbers. Nevertheless, this is all we've got to go on, so for you curiosity-seekers I'll list the May 2007 numbers for the beach cities and some of the surrounding areas. These numbers are not shown in the online version of the article, only the print edition:
SFR SALES
May Home Sales May Median Price
Zip 2007 2006 % Change 2007 2006 % Change
90045 33 41 -19.5% $800,000 $845,000 -5.3%
90245 10 18 -44.4% $837,000 $887,000 -5.6%
90250 42 64 -34.4% $552,000 $528,000 4.5%
90254 29 23 26.1% $1,255,000 $1,260,000 -0.4%
90260 11 27 -59.3% $675,000 $600,000 12.5%
90266 48 52 -7.7% $1,704,000 $1,766,000 -3.5%
90274 26 19 36.8% $1,365,000 $1,350,000 1.1%
90275 31 43 -27.9% $1,175,000 $1,145,000 2.6%
90277 27 14 92.9% $1,069,000 $1,112,000 -3.9%
90278 31 36 -13.9% $775,000 $855,000 -9.4%
90501 27 30 -10.0% $594,000 $594,000 0.0%
90502 11 15 -26.7% $539,000 $531,000 1.5%
90503 30 23 30.4% $765,000 $750,000 2.0%
90504 25 40 -37.5% $590,000 $622,000 -5.1%
90505 24 37 -35.1% $800,000 $810,000 -1.2%
CONDO SALES
May Condo Sales May Median Price
Zip 2007 2006 % Change 2007 2006 % Change
90045 4 6 -33.3% $406,000 $432,000 -6.0%
90245 4 8 -50.0% $548,000 $696,000 -21.3%
90250 7 7 0.0% $593,000 $435,000 36.3%
90254 3 6 -50.0% $444,000 $789,000 -43.7%
90260 5 3 66.7% $430,000 $307,000 40.1%
90266 5 3 66.7% $900,000 $900,000 0.0%
90274 3 1 200.0% $460,000 $743,000 -38.1%
90275 5 6 -16.7% $695,000 $550,000 26.4%
90277 20 19 5.3% $769,000 $721,000 6.7%
90278 40 41 -2.4% $686,000 $740,000 -7.3%
90501 18 11 63.6% $525,000 $492,000 6.7%
90502 10 32 -68.8% $347,000 $369,000 -6.0%
90503 20 17 17.6% $541,000 $535,000 1.1%
90504 1 3 -66.7% $434,000 $440,000 -1.4%
90505 3 3 0.0% $462,000 $450,000 2.7%